Former Xbox Employee Thinks Consoles to “Die Out” in 5-10 Years
First, it was an onslaught of individuals claiming that PCs were doomed as a gaming platform, and now we’ve gotten several industry professionals saying the same thing about consoles. The latest is former Microsoft employee Sandy Duncan, who worked on the Xbox project in Europe. He told That VideoGame Blog that he believes consoles as we know them will “die out” in the next five to ten years.
“The industry is fundamentally driven by technology. I think dedicated games devices i.e. consoles (and handhelds) will die [out] in the next 5 to 10 years. The business model is very risky and the costs associated with creating new hardware are incredibly high,” Duncan said.
He continued, “There is a definite ‘convergence’ of other devices such as set top boxes. There’s hardly any technology difference between some hard disc video recorders and an Xbox 360 for example. In fact in 5 to 10 years I don’t think you’ll have any box at all under your TV, most of this stuff will be ‘virtualized’ as web services by your content provider.”
Duncan also didn’t believe the standard model for distributing games will last much longer – which means EA might not be the same company it is today in five years. Suffice it to say, he’s a big subscriber to the notion that changes are abound in the games industry. Aside from digital distribution, I’m not really convinced that we’re going to see a dramatic change in the platforms we play games on.