I'm way cooler than n0e (who isn't though?)
14th April 2004
LOS ANGELES - [size=-1]There's a 1-in-300 chance that a recently discovered asteroid, believed to be about 1,300 feet long, could hit Earth in 2029, a NASA (news - web sites) scientist said Thursday, but he added that the perceived risk probably will be eliminated once astronomers get more detail about its orbit. [/size]
There have been only a limited number of sightings of Asteroid 2004 MN4, which has been given an initial rating of 2 on the 10-point Torino Impact Hazard Scale used by astronomers to predict asteroid or comet impacts, said Donald Yeomans, manager of the Near Earth Object Program at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena.
No previously observed asteroid has been graded higher than 1.
On Friday, April 13, 2029, "we can't yet rule out an Earth impact," Yeomans said. "But the impact probability, as we call it, is 300-to-1 against an impact."
The asteroid was discovered in June and rediscovered this month.
"This is not a problem for anyone and it shouldn't be a concern to anyone, but whenever we post one of these things and ... somebody gets ahold of it, it just gets crazy," he said.
"In the unlikely event that it did hit, it would be quite serious. We're talking either a tsunami if it hit in the ocean, which would be likely, or significant ground damage," Yeomans said.
Its estimated size has been inferred from its brightness, which assumes that its reflectivity is similar to other asteroids that have been observed. At about 1,320 feet in length, it would have about 1,600 megatons of energy, Yeomans said.
Asteroid 2004 MN4 takes less than a year to go all the way around the sun and on each orbit it passes by Earth's orbit twice, Yeomans said. It is also nearly on the same plane as Earth's orbit.
The asteroid will be visible for the next several months and the NEO program has alerted its network of ground-based observers to include 2004 MN4 in their searches.
Yeomans said there have now been about 40 observations, first from the observatory at Kitt Peak, near Tucson, Ariz., and this month from Australia and New Zealand.
:naughty: what do you think? [/size]
Ex-MøđęRāŧǿr ø₣ Geňęrāł Gāmíňĝ
31st January 2004
1 in 300.....not likely to hit us then really, so not much to be afraid of, though no doubt some people will take it over the top.
time to start building 'dem bunkers ;)
7th March 2003
don't worry, we just ask NASA to send bruce willis to drill a hole in it and drop a nuke...
'Dreadnought[DK']don't worry, we just ask NASA to send bruce willis to drill a hole in it and drop a nuke...
:doh: of course!!
Lord of Ownage.. and pie...
20th August 2004
you'd figure that we'd have ample time to prepare against something like that with a good 24 years on the table... and thats a BIIIG IF!
I'm too cool to Post
17th September 2003
not a planet killer then, no probs. just aim it at Canada and we'll be laughing. ;)
I didn't make it!
Canada is right above me. Forget that. Aim it at Mexico. At least if it does destroy parts of the United States, it will only take out the south. :lol: No seriously though, I would rather it hit the ocean. And I doubt anything will happen, the thing has a 300-1 chance of hitting our planet? Too low for me.
AzHnot a planet killer then, no probs. just aim it at Canada and we'll be laughing. ;)
well i sure laughed at the idea :p
Jose Cuervo: Obey your thirst.
26th November 2004
OMGZ0R!!!11 a 0.33% chance of being hit by an asteroid in 24 years! Sweet jesus, we're doomed!!!