I heard on the news that Tony Blair will end his leadership in the labour party at the end of June. Do you think it is a mistake for him to do that especially at this time? I think this timing of his resignation will cause an awful lot of uncertainties for the future. What do you think?
We knew he would be leaving soon. We've known for a while. The announcement only gives us the date - 27th June.
I don't see how it is worse for him to go now than any other time. There won't be to many uncertainties either. We know Gordon Brown will take over (of course, there will be a leadership contest, but Brown will win).
It's time for a change, that's for sure IMO. Whether Brown is the right change is another matter though.
I think it's right timing for Mr. Blair and the Labour Party. From personal perspective Blair will end his prime ministership into achievement of joint cabinet between catholics & protestants in northern Ireland and acting as the host for G8 (or was it EU) summit conference. From party perspective, Blair will step down in the summer when there's more peaceful time in politics, giving time for Gordon Brown to get to known with his duties before Autumn & budget planning.
Like Rich pointed out, there's no uncertainties around. Tony Blair has been prime minister for 10 years which is a very long time in politics and he has won three consecutive parliamentary elections for the Labour: there's little chance that seemingly old (when it comes to political ideas) Blair could win fourth elections for the party or even minimize losses, especially as his popularity is record low due to Iraq war and as the Conservative Party has moved closer to the political center under the leadership of new & dynamic leader David Cameron.
If the elections are held in Autumn (as it would give legitimacy for Brown's prime ministership), I believe the Conservatives to take major victory simply due to the fact that the people are tired on Labour during last 10 years & want change, in addition to Brown's own poor image amongst the people and now more moderate Conservative Party.
I'm not that familiar with the British politics but looking through today's eye glasses, I would say that Gordon Brown won't stay long as party chairman.
^Agree with Relander on everything. I have a feeling that labour will lose the coming general election and that the other party members are merely using Gordan Brown as the cusion for that defeat. Other members are not standing because they think that the end of the labour party's winning streak is coming and that they don't want to be in charge when it loses. Thus, put Gordan in charge and bide their time.
Heaven's gonna burn your eyes
16th April 2005
Blair has had an excellent run, but I feel that it is time to step down. Luckily, he'll do it before the Labour Party really falls, and his image will stay largely intact.
Brown will probably be a very short-lived leader. He has none of the charisma of Blair or David Cameron. He inherits a party under attack, and without the buoyancy or vibrancy that it had 10 years ago. Labour is fighting a rear-guard action to stay on, and it's about to lose its top general.
From what I have seen, the Tories have mounted an effective assault on Labour, and have been able to place new policies and new positions that leave Labour behind.
My predilection will be that the Conservatives, Lib Dems, and Greens gain the most out of the coming election, and Gordon Brown will be gone within 6 months of his defeat.
I personally believe that it was the right time for blair to go after a chain of false promises and wrong decisions (the Irak war). However Brown is set to take over and there is no leadership challenge at the moment. Futher more there is said to be a major change in labour as the 'new labour, new britain' tagline is replace with just the original 'labour logo'. Does this mean labour is going back to baisics? or going through a new revolution as many other major cabinate ministers such as John reid are resigning and being replaced be a group of young, fresh politicians.
It will be highly intresting to see what happens in the comming months, and more importantly the general election next year (I think).
Some very good points raised in this thread, and i agree with the main consensus.
I have to ask, though, why do those from foreign countries (not England) know so much about English politics? Especially you, Finland!
Heaven's gonna burn your eyes
16th April 2005
Some of us are political science students majoring in international relations, and some of us are just enthusiasts!
I think that he did leave at the right time, I think that he has made a lot of improvements to our great country, he was truly a good man and I think that his successor will have alot to live up to. If I'm right he's devoting his time to bring piece between British Christians and Muslims?
Jill;3670505I heard on the news that Tony Blair will end his leadership in the labour party at the end of June. Do you think it is a mistake for him to do that especially at this time? I think this timing of his resignation will cause an awful lot of uncertainties for the future. What do you think?
I think it's about time he left eventually you reach a point where a country needs a new leader for some fresh ideas.